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CITIC Securities: It is expected that the global semiconductor and hardware fundamentals will resume their upward trend from the second quarter of next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, the global semiconductor and hardware fundamentals are expected to remain weak from the fourth quarter of 2024 to the first quarter of 2025, and will resume their upward trend from the second quarter of 2025. Similar to 2024, GenAI is expected to continue to be the core driving force, but industrial opportunities are expected to continue to spread around NVIDIA. At the same time, we should also pay attention to the recovery progress of IT expenditure of European and American enterprises after the US election, the pull of end-side AI and windows10 EOL on consumer electronics and bulk storage chips, and the recovery process of automobile and industrial sectors at the bottom of the cycle. Tariff and trade policies, US macro and inflation data, and GenAI technology progress are expected to continue to be the core influencing variables of the industry. At the sub-sector level, our preference order is: advanced process, AI network (Ethernet equipment and high-speed interface), AI computing chip (ASIC, commercial GPU), AI server, enterprise IT equipment (network equipment, high-end storage, general server), consumer electronics (PC, mobile phone), analog chip, semiconductor equipment, bulk storage chip, mature process and so on.Russian Intelligence Agency: NATO is worried about Russia's statement about the western participation in the attack on Russia. The Russian Foreign Intelligence Agency issued a statement on the 12th local time, saying that according to the information obtained by the bureau, NATO headquarters is extremely worried about Russia's statement that the United States, Britain and France are directly involved in using western long-range weapons to attack deep areas of Russia. NATO legal experts worry that Russia may accuse western countries of armed aggression against Russia.Huatai Securities: The main industrial chain of lithium battery pays attention to the opportunity of profit bottoming, and the new technology focuses on solid-state batteries. Huatai Securities said that the domestic market policy side is superimposed on the enterprise side, and the carbon emission assessment in Europe is overweight in 2025. It is expected that the global new energy vehicle market will maintain steady growth in 2025. Coupled with the rapid growth of energy storage, it is estimated that the global battery demand will reach 1544/1937GWh in 2024/2025, which is +30%/+25% year-on-year. In the fourth quarter, the demand for power and energy storage is improving, and the prices of some links of lithium battery have shown signs of stabilization. We are optimistic about the links with tight supply and demand pattern and strong differentiation, and the performance of related enterprises is expected to rise in volume and price next year. In terms of new technologies, solid-state batteries continue to be tested and promoted, composite aluminum foil is expected to be mass-produced next year, lithium-sodium mixed technology is gradually landing, and fast charging permeability is expected to increase. It is recommended to pay attention to the progress of new technology industries.

Xiaomi Automobile is speeding up its voyage to sea, and will carry out automobile sales business in many regions. According to 36Kr, it is learned from many sources that Xiaomi is preparing to build automobile voyage business. Under the international department of the Group, Xiaomi has added a preparatory group for overseas sales business, and positions such as market research, project management and after-sales engineer of electric vehicles are being recruited. Under the Ministry of Automobile, Xiaomi's autonomous driving department has added a number of jobs for overseas markets to solve the problem of overseas legal verification and function landing of autonomous driving function. It is foreseeable that autonomous driving will be one of the key points of Xiaomi Automobile's betting on the sea. According to people familiar with the matter, after the formation of the team, Xiaomi will carry out small-batch car sales in many overseas regions, test the market reaction, and prepare for the large-scale development of sea business.The dollar rose to 152.91 yen against the yen, the highest since November 27.Apple is reported to cooperate with Broadcom to develop AI chips, and TSMC's advanced process will welcome big orders again. On December 13, it was reported that Apple intends to invest in self-developed AI chips, jointly develop them with Broadcom, and produce them in TSMC's 3 nm process, and mass-produce them in 2026. The legal person is optimistic that after the development of Apple's self-developed AI chip is completed, the investment is expected, and TSMC's advanced process will usher in another big order. It is understood that Apple's current A-series processors for iPhone and M-series processors for Mac all adopt self-developed strategies, and are exclusively manufactured by TSMC. The legal person believes that once Apple's self-developed chips are extended to AI chips, the cooperation with TSMC will be closer. (Taiwan Province Economic Daily)

People's Daily: Ensure that artificial intelligence is always a "friend". At present, the ability of artificial intelligence is comparable to that of human brain in many aspects, but it cannot accurately distinguish right from wrong in terms of value. This means that it is necessary to strengthen the supervision and regulation of artificial intelligence from many aspects. In recent years, many countries, including China, have introduced artificial intelligence development plans, management methods and supervision principles, precisely to ensure that technology truly serves people and benefits society. No matter how far artificial intelligence develops, it all comes from human design and is an extension of human wisdom. Artificial intelligence is doing more and more work and becoming more and more intelligent. We must take precautions to ensure that it is always a "friend".Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato: The Mitsubishi UFJ incident is under investigation. Note: Previously, Japan's Financial Services Agency will order Mitsubishi UFJ Bank to prepare a report on a series of safe theft by a former employee.CITIC Jiantou: The food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point. The CITIC Jiantou research report pointed out that 1) focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand, the food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point, and its performance and valuation are expected to continue to improve. The liquor sector is expected to rebound with the boost of the domestic economy and the activation of household consumption, and the business scene and mass consumption boom will return to the consumption upgrading channel, and the profitability of leading liquor companies is expected to accelerate the repair. At present, the overall valuation of the liquor sector is still at a low level, and the long-term investment value is prominent. 2) With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. Continue to be optimistic: 1) The leisure snacks and beverage industries maintain a high degree of prosperity, and new channels bring important incremental opportunities to companies in the industry; 2) In combination with the catering channels that continue to recover, it is suggested to pay attention to condiments, beer and catering chain labels with innovative products or reform expectations, and at the same time, the current molasses market price is further reduced from the previous month, which is of great help to yeast enterprises to improve their profit elasticity; 3) The inflection point of the raw milk cycle is approaching, the gift scene is expected to be repaired, and the dairy products continue to upgrade their structure, with high dividends and outstanding cost performance.